New Hampshire · Governor · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

New Hampshire Governor: Warmington vs. Ayotte

Ayotte leads by 7.5 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Likely GOP.

Warmington (D)42.0%
Ayotte (R)49.5%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Warmington 15%85% Ayotte
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Polling average over time

Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateWarmingtonAyotte
UNHSep 24, 20264347
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20264152

The candidates

Warmington
Democrat
Kelly Ayotte
Republican · Former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2011–2017)

Updated Sep 26, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.