Texas · Governor · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Texas Governor: Hinojosa vs. Abbott

Abbott leads by 0.8 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Toss Up.

Hinojosa (D)47.0%
Abbott (R)47.8%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Hinojosa 42%58% Abbott
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

444750 47.0% 47.8% Sep 17, 2026Sep 25, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateHinojosaAbbott
TPORSep 25, 20264650
MaristSep 23, 20264946
TSU/YouGovSep 22, 20264549
EmersonSep 17, 20264649
Texas A&M/SienaSep 17, 20264945

The candidates

Gina Hinojosa
Democrat · Texas State Representative

Born and raised in the Rio Grande Valley, Hinojosa attended Brownsville public schools, graduated from the University of Texas and earned a law degree from George Washington University. A former civil rights and union lawyer, she was Austin ISD school board president before winni…

Talks about: Overall agenda, Standardized testing, School vouchers, School takeovers, Education agency
Greg Abbott
Republican · Governor of Texas since 2015

Born in Wichita Falls, Abbott served as a justice on the Texas Supreme Court (1996–2001) and as Texas Attorney General (2002–2015) before becoming governor in 2015. He is the longest-serving incumbent governor in the United States and is seeking a fourth term.

Talks about: Taxes and costs, Border, Immigration enforcement, School choice, Standardized testing

In the news

Texas poll: James Talarico holds a narrow advantage for Senate while Greg Abbott leads for governor
NBC News · Sep 21, 2026

Updated Sep 26, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.