Florida · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Florida Senate: Moody vs. Nixon

Moody leads by 6.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Likely GOP.

Moody (R)48.3%
Nixon42.3%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Nixon 18%82% Moody
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

404651 48.3% 42.3% Sep 19, 2026Sep 24, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateMoodyNixon
Stetson UniversitySep 24, 20265140
InsiderAdvantageSep 21, 20264942
St. Pete PollsSep 19, 20264545

The candidates

Ashley Moody
Republican · U.S. Senator from Florida since 2025
Nixon

Updated Sep 26, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.