Maine · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Maine Senate: Jackson vs. Collins

Jackson leads by 1.3 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Toss Up.

Jackson (D)47.8%
Collins (R)46.5%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Jackson 57%43% Collins
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

444750 47.8% 46.5% Sep 16, 2026Sep 24, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateJacksonCollins
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20264649
UNHSep 24, 20265147
UMass Lowell/YouGovSep 24, 20264843
Quantus InsightsSep 16, 20264647

The candidates

Troy Jackson
Democrat · Former Maine Senate President

A fifth-generation logger from Allagash in Aroostook County, Jackson worked in the woods before entering politics. He served 20 years in the Maine Legislature, including six as Senate President, and is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, replacing Graham Platner.

Talks about: Health care, Drug prices, Taxes, Middle-class taxes, Immigration
Susan M. Collins
Republican · U.S. Senator from Maine since 1997
Talks about: Health care, Rural health, Drug prices, Medical research, Jobs and training

In the news

Collins leads Maine Senate race by 3 points: Survey
The Hill + 2 more · Sep 24, 2026

Maine Poll: Jackson Slightly Ahead in U.S. Senate Race
UMass Lowell (pollster release) + 1 more · Sep 26, 2026

Another new poll shows close Maine Senate race
Spectrum News Maine · Sep 25, 2026

Updated Sep 26, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.