Michigan · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Michigan Senate: El-Sayed vs. Rogers

El-Sayed leads by 3.7 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Leans Dem.

El-Sayed (D)47.8%
Rogers (R)44.2%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
El-Sayed 73%27% Rogers
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Polling average over time

424650 47.8% 44.2% Sep 17, 2026Sep 25, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateEl-SayedRogers
Big Data PollSep 25, 20264742
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20264944
Rasmussen ReportsSep 24, 20264744
Suffolk UniversitySep 22, 20264740
co/efficientSep 22, 20265050
InsiderAdvantageSep 18, 20264745
EmersonSep 17, 20264846
Washington PostSep 17, 20264845

The candidates

El-Sayed
Democrat
Mike Rogers
Republican · Former U.S. Representative from Michigan (2001–2015)

Updated Sep 26, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.