Minnesota · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Minnesota Senate: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

The race is tied in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Toss Up.

Flanagan (D)42.0%
Tafoya (R)42.0%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Flanagan 50%50% Tafoya
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateFlanaganTafoya
KSTP/SurveyUSASep 16, 20264242

The candidates

Flanagan
Democrat
Tafoya
Republican

Updated Sep 26, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.